SEVERIN : Five REASONS Why It’s President ROMNEY ..

Despite the tedious, transparent ignorance of the usual suspect “journalists” covering the presidential contest, their ponderous analyses on politics continues to “set the market” for the public’s daily sense of “who’s winning.”

If you really want to know what is happening and what will happen, forget the feckless talking heads at CNN or Marxist imbeciles at MSNBC. They might as well be making predictions on local tribal chieftain elections in Fiji –about which they likely know much more.

(1) Political change happens, but suspension of the laws of gravity does not. Over a lifetime advising candidates in this country and abroad, some things have never changed:

-The oldest, most significant question in history of U.S. public opinion polling: Asked of voters “Is the country on the right or wrong track?” No incumbent underwater on this question–including very impressive candidates for dog catcher–gets re-elected. For more than two years, across the board, voter response to this central question has consistently been greater than 2 to 1 wrong track.

(2) Everything we think we “know” about this election is based exclusively on polls, which despite enjoying the undue respect of the public are utter sh**. There are maybe five pollsters in America who could not successfully be sued for malpractice. There is nothing so common and useless in American media/”politics” than inept polls. Worse, it is easy and cheap to produce a “poll,” which hustlers and newspapers (forgive the redundancy), know is obviously inaccurate. Good polls, by good pollsters, are very difficult to produce ad very expensive.

(3) Watch for the “Silent Majority.” Per Ann Coulter’s latest blockbuster, “Mugged”, racial politics permeate our politics. Pity. The major effect it will have on this election is that many people, in my professional opinion, are intimidated at work, among friends and in public to express a pro-Romney viewpoint – inasmuch as that equals an “anti-Obama” viewpoint. Which of course equals a “racist” opinion.

Ask yourself: how many men and women just clam up at work or parties, rather than be labeled ‘racist?’

(4) “Undecideds.”
-About 10 percent of the electorate who will in the end vote, remain “Undecided.”

-In no national election in recorded US history has an incumbent won the majority of Undecideds in the final days. If you have an incumbent president that has already served four years, and now in the heat of an election you still can’t bring yourself to support him, you are going to do what late Undecided voters have always done: vote heavily for the challenger. Mitt will capture 70% of Undecided vote in closing days, easy.

(5) A greater percent of Romney supporters are going to turn out than Obama voters. In 2008, there was a gap between Republican and Democrat voter turn out. In a 4 percent race, that made the difference. In 2012, there again will be a big turn out gap. This time, it’s ours.

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